Leveling up skill : 15% or 90% ?

Re: Leveling up skill : 15% or 90% ?

Postby captaincave » Sat Nov 01, 2014 3:11 am

I confess I'm the one having misconception on statistics and probability on this topic.
I'm confident the calculation is correct, however the interpretation is not right.
Especially, I'm asking the wrong question from the start.

It should not be 'which is better', but 'which is risky'.

They have the same average card-needed-per-level,
but the 6-card strategy is more concentrated on this average,
while the 1-card is more widely spread out around this average.

The 1-card has the higher chance of 'better' result (use less card), but also higher chance of 'worse' result.

So, it is the problem whether a person willing to take risk for benefit, instead of which strategy is better on itself.

Hope it correct and helpful this time :)
captaincave
 
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Joined: Sat Aug 23, 2014 3:51 am

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